01 — DASHBOARD

Tracking the Changing World Order

The dots behind the headlines — connected.

34 active signalsH10 max heatLATEST BRIEF →
HEAT54321
LAYERSCenterInstrumentsEffectsSignals
SIGNAL LIFECYCLE

🔇 Watching

5 structural topics quiet but monitored

US Fiscal / Debt / Deficit

L2 — Effects
H10
Why it matters

10Y break below 4.50% confirms talks-priced tape; 30Y back above 5.20% says bond market sees institutional layer.

Last active: -94 days ago

Military / Force Projection

L1 — Instruments
H8
Why it matters

First kinetic engagement with IRGC fast boats. Ceasefire expiry Apr 21 response. Ground op decision if talks fail. War Powers 60-day clock end of April.

Last active: -59 days ago

Institutional Control

L1 — Instruments
H8
Why it matters

Signed MoU released by either govt within 72h?

Last active: -25 days ago

Trade & Sanctions

L2 — Effects
H4
Why it matters

Chinese/Russian vessel confrontation. New sanctions packages. Shadow fleet adaptations. BRICS+ payment alternatives. SWIFT alternative announcements.

Last active: -25 days ago

Western Election Shifts

L3 — Signals
H2
Why it matters

Next European elections. Cordon sanitaire breaking anywhere. Vote share trajectories. Any seated populist actually governing vs. domesticated.

Last active: -25 days ago

📉 Fading

1 signal topic losing signal

Red Sea / Bab al-Mandeb Threat

H5
-23 days since last mention
Last covered by
Robert PapeScott Horton