Accuracy Board
We track our calls. Every prediction logged, scored, and published.
Total Predictions
5
Resolved
0
Pending
5
Accuracy
0%
STATUS
LAYER
TOPIC
Gold's +4.4% surge suggests prolonged-war pricing is engaging. If gold sustains above $4,500, the safe-haven anomaly is resolving.
bullish goldLAYER 3goldMEDIUM
⏱ 1 week📅 Deadline: 2026-04-01Source: CTO Larsson (TA) + Lyn Alden (macro)
82nd Airborne arrival in-theater will trigger oil spike and crypto dump.
bearish crypto, bullish oilLAYER 2iran warHIGH
⏱ on event📅 Deadline: 2026-04-15Source: Libertarian Institute + Antiwar.com (ground war escalation thesis)
Mar 28 ceasefire deadline is meaningless — events have already overtaken it. No ceasefire by Mar 28.
continued escalationLAYER 2iran warHIGH
⏱ 3 days📅 Deadline: 2026-03-28Source: Scott Horton + Prof Jiang (diplomacy-as-cover thesis)
BTC needs weekly close above $72,800 to confirm Bollinger breakout toward $84,600. Without it, bear flag toward $65,500 remains in play.
conditional — bullish above 72.8k, bearish belowLAYER 3crypto macroMEDIUM
⏱ 1 week📅 Deadline: 2026-04-01Source: CTO Larsson (Larsson Line + Bollinger analysis)
If US Flash PMI confirms stagflation (weak growth + sticky inflation), it validates Fed paralysis. DXY stays range-bound, no rate cuts incoming.
stagflation confirmation → Fed frozenLAYER 2fed ratesHIGH
⏱ 1 day📅 Deadline: 2026-03-26Source: Lyn Alden (fiscal dominance / stagflation trap)
Source Scorecard
Scores update as predictions resolve. Minimum 5 resolved predictions for a meaningful score.
SOURCECALLSCORRECTPARTIALWRONGACC %
CTO Larsson (TA) + Lyn Alden (macro)
Calls: 1✅ 0⚪ 0❌ 0—
1
0
0
0
—
Libertarian Institute + Antiwar.com (ground war escalation thesis)
Calls: 1✅ 0⚪ 0❌ 0—
1
0
0
0
—
Scott Horton + Prof Jiang (diplomacy-as-cover thesis)
Calls: 1✅ 0⚪ 0❌ 0—
1
0
0
0
—
CTO Larsson (Larsson Line + Bollinger analysis)
Calls: 1✅ 0⚪ 0❌ 0—
1
0
0
0
—
Lyn Alden (fiscal dominance / stagflation trap)
Calls: 1✅ 0⚪ 0❌ 0—
1
0
0
0
—